诚心请教一手FT上的牌

让我先看看奖金额嘛 :p
就两个选择 all-in or fold

决定的factors是UTG有多aggressive, how have u been playing
how often he open raise, and how often do we think he would call your all-in
how often you 3bet in Final Table?

我比较喜欢all-in因为你说大家都aggressive, 但是 he might call with wider range
1) you stack is short, and he will be given good odds
2) 有些人认为他有大stacks可以call with wider range even这些其实不是他应该考虑的因素

但我在button，这手牌我有最好的位置。

呵呵，因为我觉得你的选择是fold or reraise all-in, 位置的因素已经完全没有关系了

19bb rr all-in 其实不算太多，因为已经有ante了

比如 ante is 1/4 sb, 4 handed
CO r 3, BU rr 19 all-in
那么BU是 risk 19 to win 5
如果对手fold 80% of the time, 我们就直接有 +cEV， 况且我们的equity when called is never 0%

假如我们说CO会fold 75% of the time, 然后BU的equity when called是 30%
cEV=(5*0.75)+(0.25*0.3*40)-(0.25*0.7*19)=3.43bb
当然这不包括icm, 还有很少数时间 SB, BB may wake up with big hands, 但是3.43bb是一个很大的+, BU还是有+$ev的
如果CO raise very wide, CO fold% 可能更高